Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CONSON-16 in Japan, Russian Federation from 08 Aug 2016 06:00 UTC to 14 Aug 2016 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-16

in Japan, Russian Federation

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan, Russian Federation
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (14 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 370000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	08 Aug 2016 06:00	120	No people	No people
2	08 Aug 2016 12:00	120	No people	No people
3	08 Aug 2016 18:00	120	No people	No people
4	09 Aug 2016 00:00	120	No people	No people
5	09 Aug 2016 06:00	120	No people	No people
6	09 Aug 2016 12:00	120	No people	No people
7	09 Aug 2016 18:00	130	No people	No people
8	10 Aug 2016 00:00	120	No people	No people
9	10 Aug 2016 06:00	120	No people	No people
10	10 Aug 2016 12:00	111	No people	No people
11	10 Aug 2016 18:00	93	No people	No people
12	11 Aug 2016 00:00	93	Few people	No people	Russian Federation
13	11 Aug 2016 06:00	83	5 thousand	No people	Russian Federation
14	11 Aug 2016 12:00	83	6 thousand	No people	Russian Federation
15	11 Aug 2016 18:00	93	8 thousand	No people	Russian Federation
16	12 Aug 2016 00:00	93	70 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
17	12 Aug 2016 06:00	93	9 thousand	No people	Russian Federation
18	12 Aug 2016 12:00	83	100 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
19	12 Aug 2016 18:00	83	580 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
20	13 Aug 2016 00:00	83	1.5 million	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
21	13 Aug 2016 06:00	74	440 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
22	13 Aug 2016 12:00	74	650 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
23	13 Aug 2016 18:00	93	470 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
24	14 Aug 2016 00:00	93	110 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
25	14 Aug 2016 06:00	83	370 thousand	No people	Japan, Russian Federation

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	08 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.7, 160.8
2	08 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.8, 160.4
3	08 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.4, 160.1
4	09 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17, 159.4
5	09 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17, 158.7
6	09 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.2, 158.1
7	09 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.7, 157
8	10 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18.1, 156
9	10 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18.5, 155.5
10	10 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.9, 154.2
11	10 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.6, 153.8
12	11 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.2, 153.5
13	11 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.5, 153.9
14	11 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.9, 154.4
15	11 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	23.4, 155.3
16	12 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	25.2, 155.5
17	12 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	26.2, 155.7
18	12 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	27.8, 155.5
19	12 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	28.8, 155.2
20	13 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	29.9, 154.6
21	13 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	31.9, 154.2
22	13 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	32.8, 153.1
23	13 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	34.3, 152.1
24	14 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	35.8, 151.2
25	14 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	120000 people	38.2, 149.6	Japan
25	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	370000 people	42.6, 147.1	Japan
25	15 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	46.7, 146.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan
Russia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Hokkaido	Japan
Sakhalinskaya oblast'	Russian Federation

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Nemuro	Hokkaido	Japan	City	31000 people
Kushiro	Hokkaido	Japan	City	23000 people
Naka-shibetsu	Hokkaido	Japan	City	-
Rausu	Hokkaido	Japan	City	-
Abashiri	Hokkaido	Japan	City	42000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Nakashibetsu	SHB	65	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Burvestnik		24				0
Sopochnyy Southwest		21				0
Minami Torishima		7	Civ.	Paved	No	4500

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Hanasaki		Japan
Nemuro	JPNEM	Japan
Akkeshi	JPAKE	Japan
Shakotan		Russia
Kushiro	JPKUH	Japan
Golovino		Russia
Yuzhno Kurilsk		Russia
Wakkanai		Japan
Kurilsk		Russia
Minami Tori		Japan

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Fushiko-tobuto, Japan. This height is estimated for 14 Aug 2016 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (80 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 14 Aug 2016 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Fushiko-tobuto	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Svetloye	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Nishi-wada	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Tokotan	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Moraito	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Nassafu	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Moshirikeshi	Russia	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Nemuro	Japan	0.3
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Odaito	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Bekkai	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Zeikomae	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Akiajiba	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Tomoshiri	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Pontokomoi	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Nishimae	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Kombuusu	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Ayvazovskoye	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 17:00	Hamanaka	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Kamenka	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Aitomari	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Sunahama	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Kitaura	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Tokkariiso	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Kafenotsu	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Gordeyevka	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Kruglovo	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Kekkyowan	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Chibukarabetsu	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Yuzhno-Kurilsk	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Il'inka	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Nazarovo	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Mysovoye	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Masuba	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Anama	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Gavrilovka	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 17:00	Churuigenya	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 17:00	Kumbetsu	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 17:00	Rukushibetsu	Japan	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Grigor'yevo	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Kunashiri	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Kambaraiso	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Golovnino	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Protochnaya	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Nakanokotan	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Medelevo	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Goryachiy	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Tyatino	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Shikotan	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Riyaushi	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Alekhino	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Oshiusu	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Malaya Rechka	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Onirusu	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Ptichye	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Rokko	Russia	0.2
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Mammae	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 18:00	Shibetsu	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Okeanskiy	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Mataruzaru	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Selivanovka	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Iodnyy	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Berezovka	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 19:00	Hikiushi	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Ruchi	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Nov'	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Mysovaya	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Otlivnyy	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 22:00	Neskuchnoye	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 15:00	Mo-chirippu	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 20:00	Danilovo	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Krutenki	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Rudnaya	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 22:00	Tayezhnyy	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 22:00	Lesozavodskiy	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 22:00	Dobroye	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Odesskiy	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Sanjibotsu	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 21:00	Chikkaporo	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 22:00	Rebaushi	Russia	0.1
	14 Aug 2016 15:00	Kiritappu	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.